¿Los programas de riego hacen que las comunidades rurales pobres de Bolivia sean menos vulnerables?
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.35319/lajed.20152468Palabras clave:
Vulnerabilidad, resiliencia, adaptación, riego, BoliviaResumen
Usando una combinación de métodos cuantitativos y cualitativos, este estudio evalúa la efectividad de los programas nacionales de riego en Bolivia -PRONAR y PRONAREC-en la reducción de la vulnerabilidad de las comunidades agropecuarias. Proponemos dos indicadores prácticos para medir empíricamente la vulnerabilidad, y desarrollamos una Teoría de Cambio que detalla cómo el riego podría afectar la vulnerabilidad de los hogares agropecuarios. Procedemos a hacer una "propensity score matched difference-in-differences estimation," que compara los cambios en vulnerabilidad entre los hogares en cantones beneficiarios de un programa nacional de riego entre 2002 y 2012 y los hogares similares en cantones que no se han beneficiado de programas de riego. Se complementa el análisis cuantitativo con un análisis cualitativo basado en entrevistas y grupos focales con oficiales actuales y anteriores, así como beneficiarios en el altiplano, los valles y las tierras bajas de Bolivia.
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