Nueva evidencia para el crecimiento orientado a las exportaciones, crecimiento orientado a bienes comerciables y crecimiento orientado a manufacturas: resultados de pruebas de causalidad para Turquía
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.35319/lajed.20050264Palabras clave:
Crecimiento Orientado a las Exportaciones, Crecimiento económicoResumen
Utilizando datos trimestrales de Turquía para el periodo 1987-2004, primero testeamos la hipótesis sobre el Crecimiento Orientado a las Exportaciones (ELG) desde dos enfoques alternativos. Por un lado, si los resultados del test corroboran una relación de causalidad bidireccional entre el 'crecimiento de los retornos de las exportaciones' y el 'crecimiento económico', en los resultados no se encontró evidencia en la relación de causalidad entre 'la participación de las exportaciones en el PIB' y el 'crecimiento económico'. Por otro lado, encontramos evidencia de una relación causal bidireccional entre el crecimiento económico y la participación en el producto, de los bienes transables en general y los bienes manufacturados en particular. Los resultados del test de causalidad de Granger también muestran una evidencia de la relación causal unidireccional entre la 'participación de la minería en el producto' y el 'crecimiento económico'. Sin embargo, no existe evidencia de causalidad entre la participación en el producto de los bienes transables, en general, y cada subsector transable, en particular; en la proporción de exportaciones respecto al producto.
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