Hodrick-Prescott, Goodwin and Business Cycles in Bolivia

Authors

  • Horacio Villegas Quino Bolivian Catholic University "San Pablo"
  • Raúl Rubín de Celis Bolivian Catholic University "San Pablo"
  • Javier Aliaga Lordemann Bolivian Catholic University "San Pablo"

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.35319/lajed.201116144

Keywords:

Bussines Cycles, Equilibrium, Stability, Short-run, Long run, accelerator, nonlinearity, instability, chaos

Abstract

Bussiness cycles do not show identical behavior in the short and the long term, evidencing that there is no equilibrium. The main cause of instability is the incidence of exogenous forces on the domestic economy. A possible increase of these exogenous forces causes more instability in the cycles of the product.

The interaction between the accelerator an the marginal propensity to save, and the time devoted to the production of new capital goods and consumption, can minimize the effect of exogenous forces. The interaction mentioned above can be approximated as the investment environment; the higher this is, the greater the possibility of reducing external shocks.

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Author Biographies

Horacio Villegas Quino, Bolivian Catholic University "San Pablo"

Senior researcher and administrator of the CELA project at the Socioeconomic Research Institute (IISEC) of Bolivian Catholic University San Pablo (UCBSP). La Paz, Bolivia.

Raúl Rubín de Celis, Bolivian Catholic University "San Pablo"

Research associate of the Institute of Socio-Economic Research (IISEC) of Bolivian Catholic University San Pablo (UCBSP). La Paz, Bolivia.

Javier Aliaga Lordemann, Bolivian Catholic University "San Pablo"

Director of the Socio-Economic Research Institute (IISEC) of Bolivian Catholic University San Pablo (UCBSP). La Paz, Bolivia.

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Published

2011-11-01

How to Cite

Villegas Quino, H., Rubín de Celis, R., & Aliaga Lordemann, J. (2011). Hodrick-Prescott, Goodwin and Business Cycles in Bolivia. Latin American Journal of Economic Development, 9(16), 29–38. https://doi.org/10.35319/lajed.201116144

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