Nueva evidencia para el crecimiento orientado a las exportaciones, crecimiento orientado a bienes comerciables y crecimiento orientado a manufacturas: resultados de pruebas de causalidad para Turquía


  • Serhan Ciftcioglu Eastern Mediterranean University
  • Ramzi Nekhili Eastern Mediterranean University


Palabras clave:

Crecimiento Orientado a las Exportaciones, Crecimiento económico


Utilizando datos trimestrales de Turquía para el periodo 1987-2004, primero testeamos la hipótesis sobre el Crecimiento Orientado a las Exportaciones (ELG) desde dos enfoques alternativos. Por un lado, si los resultados del test corroboran una relación de causalidad bidireccional entre el 'crecimiento de los retornos de las exportaciones' y el 'crecimiento económico', en los resultados no se encontró evidencia en la relación de causalidad entre 'la participación de las exportaciones en el PIB' y el 'crecimiento económico'. Por otro lado, encontramos evidencia de una relación causal bidireccional entre el crecimiento económico y la participación en el producto, de los bienes transables en general y los bienes manufacturados en particular. Los resultados del test de causalidad de Granger también muestran una evidencia de la relación causal unidireccional entre la 'participación de la minería en el producto' y el 'crecimiento económico'. Sin embargo, no existe evidencia de causalidad entre la participación en el producto de los bienes transables, en general, y cada subsector transable, en particular; en la proporción de exportaciones respecto al producto.


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Biografía del autor/a

Serhan Ciftcioglu, Eastern Mediterranean University

Facultad de Administración de Empresas. Eastern Mediterranean University; Turquía.

Ramzi Nekhili, Eastern Mediterranean University

Facultad de Ingeniería, Departamento de Ingeniería Industrial. Eastern Mediterranean University; Turquía.


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Cómo citar

Ciftcioglu, S., & Nekhili, R. (2005). Nueva evidencia para el crecimiento orientado a las exportaciones, crecimiento orientado a bienes comerciables y crecimiento orientado a manufacturas: resultados de pruebas de causalidad para Turquía. Revista Latinoamericana De Desarrollo Económico, 3, 135–154.