Estimando la Propensión de Gobiernos Autoritarios y Economías en Desarrollo a Participar en Iniciativas de Desdolarización y Diversificación de Monedas de Reserva
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https://doi.org/10.35319/lajed.202441515Palabras clave:
Desdolarización, moneda de reserva, autoritarismo, sanciones financierasResumen
Después de la Segunda Guerra Mundial, el dólar estadounidense se consolidó como el principal medio de pago, depósito de valor y unidad de cuenta globalmente, manteniéndose hasta tiempos actuales. No obstante, hoy en día hay nuevas potencias emergentes con visiones políticas opuestas a Occidente. Por ello, iniciativas de desdolarización impulsadas por estos gobiernos conllevan repercusiones importantes para la diversificación de monedas de reserva en economías en desarrollo. Al analizar sus incentivos, asociados con riesgos políticos, la investigación evalúa cómo gobiernos autoritarios son propensos a aumentar el uso de monedas de reserva no tradicionales. Los resultados empíricos, derivados de regresiones probit con datos de corte transversal, muestran que los gobiernos que expresan la intención de reducir el uso del dólar estadounidense para pagos internacionales muestran mayores niveles de autoritarismo, controles de capital, preferencias en común con el bloque BRICS en la Asamblea General de las Naciones Unidas, y a China como socio comercial importante.
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Derechos de autor 2024 Revista Latinoamericana de Desarrollo Económico
Esta obra está bajo una licencia internacional Creative Commons Atribución-NoComercial 4.0.
