Is there space for anti-shock policies in Bolivia?: Lessons from an analysis based on a computable general equilibrium model.

Authors

  • Luis Carlos Jemio Bolivian Catholic University "San Pablo"
  • Manfred Wiebelt Kiel Institute of World Economics

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.35319/lajed.20031336

Keywords:

Bolivian economy, Shocks, CGEM, Economic growth

Abstract

Bolivia's medium-term growth prospects are promising, but they could be lost due to social unrest and political instability if the country does not solve its short-term economic problems, resulting both from external shocks and internal factors. Considering this scenario, this document analyzes the possibilities of the Bolivian economy to apply anti-shock policies in order to mitigate the short-term effects of the shocks. For this purpose, a recursive-dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGEM) model is described that includes the real and financial sectors and captures the particular aspects that characterize the functioning of the Bolivian economy. The model is used both to evaluate the effects of external shocks and to test the effectiveness of different policies.

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Author Biographies

Luis Carlos Jemio, Bolivian Catholic University "San Pablo"

Economist of the Andean Development Corporation (CAF) and professor at the Bolivian Catholic University.

Manfred Wiebelt, Kiel Institute of World Economics

Economist at Kiel Institute for World Economics, Germany.

References

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Published

2003-09-01

How to Cite

Jemio, L. C., & Wiebelt, M. (2003). Is there space for anti-shock policies in Bolivia?: Lessons from an analysis based on a computable general equilibrium model. Latin American Journal of Economic Development, 1(1), 37–68. https://doi.org/10.35319/lajed.20031336